Byelection Results Roll In

With most of the results in, it appears the Liberals have held Scarborough-Guildwood and Ottawa South, with the NDP winning Windsor-Tecumseh and London West, and Doug Holyday squeaking it out in Etobicoke-Lakeshore.

On the surface, this is a disastrous result for Kathleen Wynne, losing three seats and seeing her party’s vote fall by an average of over 15 points. The Liberals finished a distant third in Windsor and London, two ridings they won handily in 2011.

But byelections are all about expectations, and this is roughly what people expected from the Liberals. So it’s Tim Hudak who, despite scoring a long sought-after breakthrough into fortress Toronto, finds himself being declared the “loser” of the night by many. Go figure.

While I would never dispute that Tim Hudak is a loser, he didn’t receive much help in the expectations game from Forum research, which had the PCs leading in 3 ridings – and up by 16 points in Ottawa South. Consider this another reminder we really didn’t need to put much stock in superficial robopolls answered by 1 in 100 numbers called, in byelections where under a third of of public votes.

Posted on by CalgaryGrit in by elections, Ontario Politics, Polls

About CalgaryGrit

A former Calgary Liberal, now living in Toronto. My writings on politics can be found at and online at the National Post.

You are not authorized to see this part
Please, insert a valid App ID, otherwise your plugin won't work correctly.

2 Responses to Byelection Results Roll In

  1. Michael

    Really didn’t need not to?

  2. estimate for house painting

    I think this is one of the such a lot significant info for me.
    And i’m satisfied studying your article. However wanna observation
    on few common things, The web site taste is wonderful,
    the articles is really great : D. Excellent process, cheers

Add a Comment

Plugin from the creators of Brindes Personalizados :: More at Plulz Wordpress Plugins