Jason Cherniak tells about his adventures with a new Liberal poll tonight. Well, I just got a call from “Solis 1” myself tonight and it was the same script: “Liberal delegate meetings are this weekend. Which candidate will you vote for?Bob Rae, press 1Scott Brison, press 2Michael Ignatieff, press 3Stephane Dion, press 4Other or undecided, […]

As always, you can see my projection spreadsheet online.In an effort to remove some of the subjectivity to the projections, I’ve replaced my “gut feeling” level of grass roots support for each candidate with the regional polling data from the Ekos and Strategic Counsel polls which came out this week. For the record, I see […]

For those wondering what benefit Hedy Fry’s endorsement will give to the Bob Rae campaign, consider this: Not a single respondent chose Fry [in the poll]. “There were over 3,000 opportunities for people to pick her (as first,second or third choice),” said Graves. “She literally got zero. I have never seen that in over 20 […]

It’s hard to even feign surprise at news like this. In Other News…1. It appears that Dion, Dryden and Brison are in hot water over leaking Liberal lists to the Globe & Mail for their quasi-scientific survey conducted last week. Brison says his campaign never gave the Globe their lists and given his impeccable track […]

If you’re like me, you probably enjoy nothing more than spending your Saturday in hot debate over the fiscal imbalance and equalization payment formulas. So, to help with this, I thought I’d link to a few recent stories: 1) First off, via political mouse, comes this story of a potential equalization plan. The plan calls […]

This may mark the first time this campaign the Globe & Mail has written anything remotely nice about Gerard Kennedy so I figured it was worth a link. ———————————————— TORONTO – Quick, now: What does the jumbled Liberal Party leadership race have in common with an obscure 19th-century English novel? The answer: “a dark horse,” […]

No one doubts Ignatieff will be leading after the first ballot, but given the last month or two, it’s really hard to call the guy the frontrunner anymore in this race. And while I’m hesitant to put too much stock in polls like this, I think it’s looking more and more like Bob Rae is […]

Ralph makes what I believe is his sixth resignation announcement. And the race begins! CTV profiles the nine candidates in the race.

The Northern Liberal (and everyone else) has a post up which could cause quite a few headaches for the Bob Rae campaign. Despite his claims that he has long since broken ranks with the NDP, it appears that Bob Rae made several donations to NDP candidates in the 2004 and 2006 general elections. Here’s a […]

(for methodology used, click here) Cerberus and DemocraticSpace have posted projections today so I figured I’d take the time to update my leadership projections and posted them on google spreadsheets for everyone to take a look at (if you’d like the excel file with formulas, e-mail me). I recognize that it may not be the […]