{"id":747,"date":"2006-01-25T23:22:00","date_gmt":"2006-01-26T04:22:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=747"},"modified":"2006-01-25T23:22:00","modified_gmt":"2006-01-26T04:22:00","slug":"pool-results","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=747","title":{"rendered":"Pool Results"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Thanks to the close to fifty people who entered. I&#8217;ve added the scores up and am prepared to crown a &#8220;Champion of Miscellaneous Canadian Political Prognostication&#8221; in the First (annual?) Off-Beat Election Pool.<\/p>\n<p>Before I reveal the winners, here are the question answers:<\/p>\n<p><i>1. Will the Liberals win a seat in Alberta (10 points)<\/i><br \/><strong>NO<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><i>2. Over\/Under Conservative support in Quebec &#8211; 9% (5 points)<\/i><br \/>WAY <strong>OVER<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><i>3. Which party will run the most vicious attack ad (I get to play judge and jury on this one) (5 points)<\/i><br \/><strong>LIBERALS or BQ<\/strong>. I explain my reasoning <a href=\"http:\/\/calgarygrit.blogspot.com\/2006\/01\/tuesday-morning-quarterback.html\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><em>4. Which party will win Ottawa Centre? (3 points)<\/em><br \/><strong>NDP<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>5. Svend Robinson or Heddy Fry? (3 points)<\/em><br \/><strong>Heddy<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>6. Will the Bloc crack 60 seats? (5 points)<br \/><\/em><strong>NO<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>7. Will Marc Garneau win his seat? (3 points)<\/em><br \/><strong>NO<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>8. Will Allan Cutler win his seat? (3 points)<\/em><br \/><strong>NO<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>9. Will Olivia Chow win her seat? (3 points)<\/em><br \/><strong>YES<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>10. Will Jean Lapierre keep his seat? (3 points)<\/em><br \/><strong>YES<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>11. What date will the first abortion reference be made during the campaign? (5 points for person who is closest, 4 points for second closest, etc.)<\/em><br \/><strong>JANUARY 10th<\/strong> . This one may take a bit of explanation. Abortion was brought up in the Washington Times article which Harper responded to before Christmas. However, journalists mention abortion all the time &#8211; the real question is when it becomes an issue. No one jumped on the abortion part of that story at the time so I don&#8217;t consider it a real reference&#8230;it barely registered in Canadian newspapers (and I was google searching &#8220;abortion + Harper&#8221; quite frequently). On the 10th, we saw the (former?) CPC party president bring the issue up and the papers and politicians jumped all over it.<\/p>\n<p><em>12. Number of times Stephen Harper mentions &#8220;corruption&#8221; in first English debate (5 points for correct guess, minus 1 for every one away you are)<\/em><br \/><strong>3<br \/><\/strong><br \/><em>13. Number of times Paul Martin is &#8220;clear&#8221; or &#8220;perfectly clear&#8221; during the first English debate (5 points for correct guess, minus 1 for every one away you are)<\/em><br \/><strong>5<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>14. Which party leader will the CTV instant poll claim to have won the first English debate? (5 points)<\/em><br \/><strong>MARTIN<\/strong>. CTV didn&#8217;t have an instant poll, but Global did and Martin won it. Every post-debate poll had Martin as the winner too.<\/p>\n<p><em>15. Will Belinda Stronach appear in a nationally televised Liberal TV ad? (2 points)<\/em><br \/><strong>NO<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>16. Monte Solberg&#8217;s popular vote over\/under &#8211; 75% (5 points)<\/em><br \/><strong>OVER<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>17. Which leader will get the most points in the Gaffe pool? (5 points)<br \/><\/em><strong>MARTIN<\/strong> . In a landslide.<\/p>\n<p><em>18. Voter Turn-Out (5 points for actual percentage, -1 for every percentage point off by)<br \/><\/em><strong>65%<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>19. Which polling company&#8217;s final poll will be the closest to the actual election results? (10 points)<br \/><\/em><strong>SES<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>20. Which party will get the most seats? (I guess it had to be asked) (10 points)<\/em><br \/><strong>CONSERVATIVES<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Since I don&#8217;t want to embarrass anyone, I&#8217;ll only post the 20 highest scores here. If you&#8217;re not listed here, you can e-mail me for your score and rank. Apologies in advance for any adding errors.<\/p>\n<p>1. Saskatchewan Grit 70<br \/>2. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pointsofinformation.ca\/\">Mustafah Hirji<\/a> 63<br \/>3. Judy 57<br \/>4. Blake Robert 49<br \/>5. John G 48<br \/>5. <a href=\"http:\/\/ahabswhale.blogspot.com\/\">James MacDuff <\/a>48<br \/>7. Mike Berthold 47<br \/>7. Mike Gilis 47<br \/>7. <a href=\"http:\/\/socialistgulag.blogspot.com\/\">McGuire<\/a> 47<br \/>10. <a href=\"http:\/\/badredapple.blogspot.com\/\">Michael<\/a> 43<br \/>10. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.doubleblind.ca\/\">Sacha Peter<\/a> 43<br \/>12. <a href=\"http:\/\/hawkwatch2.blogspot.com\/\">Dorion Hawk<\/a> 42<br \/>12. <a href=\"http:\/\/crawlacrosstheocean.blogspot.com\/\">DeClan<\/a> 42<br \/>14. <a href=\"http:\/\/hacksandwonks.blogspot.com\/\">Hack<\/a> 41<br \/>15. <a href=\"http:\/\/talkcanada.blogspot.com\/\">Don<\/a> 38<br \/>16. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.genzel.ca\/\">Roby<\/a> 37<br \/>17. <a href=\"http:\/\/jasoncherniak.blogspot.com\/\">Jason Cherniak <\/a>35<br \/>17. Matt Oberhoffner 35<br \/>19. Freedominion Watch 31<br \/>20. <a href=\"http:\/\/politecompany.blogspot.com\/\">Thursday<\/a> 29<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Thanks to the close to fifty people who entered. I&#8217;ve added the scores up and am prepared to crown a &#8220;Champion of Miscellaneous Canadian Political Prognostication&#8221; in the First (annual?) Off-Beat Election Pool. Before I reveal the winners, here are the question answers: 1. Will the Liberals win a seat in Alberta (10 points)NO 2. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-747","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/747","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=747"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/747\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=747"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=747"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=747"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}