{"id":574,"date":"2005-11-28T23:01:00","date_gmt":"2005-11-29T04:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=574"},"modified":"2005-11-28T23:01:00","modified_gmt":"2005-11-29T04:01:00","slug":"the-starting-line","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=574","title":{"rendered":"The Starting Line"},"content":{"rendered":"

I’m undecided as to how much of a poll whore I intend to be this election. So feel free to comment on whether you’d prefer I go orgasmic over every 1% shift in the regional breakdowns (“OMG! The Liberals are up 2 points in Newfoundland!!!!”),<\/em> or would rather I live in blind ignorance of the numbers on the ground (“my gut<\/strong> tells me the Liberals are doing well in Quebec!”).<\/em><\/p>\n

However, it’s good to see where the parties are starting off from so I’ll post the two polls which came out today:<\/p>\n

Pollara<\/a><\/strong>
Liberal 36%
Conservative 31%
NDP 16%
BQ 14%<\/p>\n

Environics<\/a><\/strong>
Liberal 35%
Conservative 30%
NDP 20%
BQ 14%
Green 1%<\/p>\n

The Quebec numbers are just ugly for the Grits right now with the BQ at, or near, 60% in both polls. If those numbers hold (and they rarely do for the BQ)<\/em>, that would translate to a near sweep of the francophone ridings.<\/p>\n

The Liberals are up by 12 in Ontario in the Environics poll, but only 4 in Pollara. Safe to say, if the Tories can somehow stay at (or above?) <\/em>38%, they’ll be in very good shape come election day.<\/p>\n

Most important, in my opinion, is that 17% are still undecided. So the campaign will matter.<\/p>\n

Now, with all this in mind, I encourage everyone to head over to the second (annual<\/em>?) James Bow election pool<\/a> and cast their predictions. I’ll be posting my predictions later this week…every day I go back and forth between who I think will come out on top.<\/p>\n

UPDATE:<\/em><\/strong> The pollsters are surprisingly consistent. Allan Gregg <\/a>has it as:<\/p>\n

Liberal 35
Conservative 29
NDP 17
BQ 14
Green 5<\/p>\n

The best news for the Conservatives? More voters feel the Liberals are harbouring a “secret agenda” than the Conservatives. Wow.<\/p>\n

TUESDAY UPDATE:<\/em><\/strong> Ipsos has it 31-31<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

I’m undecided as to how much of a poll whore I intend to be this election. So feel free to comment on whether you’d prefer I go orgasmic over every 1% shift in the regional breakdowns (“OMG! The Liberals are up 2 points in Newfoundland!!!!”), or would rather I live in blind ignorance of the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/574"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=574"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/574\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=574"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=574"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=574"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}