{"id":553,"date":"2005-11-18T03:08:00","date_gmt":"2005-11-18T08:08:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=553"},"modified":"2005-11-18T03:08:00","modified_gmt":"2005-11-18T08:08:00","slug":"polls-polls-polls-pennies-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=553","title":{"rendered":"Polls, Polls, Polls, Pennies, Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"

1. Polls<\/strong>: The last few polls have shown a surprising degree of consistency.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\n

SES: Lib 34% Con 28% Ndp 20%
Pollara: Lib 36% Con 28% Ndp 20% Bq 11%
Decima: Lib 33% Con 26% Ndp 22% Bq 13%
Ipsos: Lib 36%, Con 27%, NDP 16%, BQ 13%<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

In all cases, the Liberals have a 6 to 9% lead. However, this is a similar situation <\/a>to where the Grits found themselves during the lead-up to the 2004 election. End result? It’s still too close to call.<\/p>\n

2. Polls II<\/strong>: The National Post has the results from a poll <\/a>that shows that the whole notion of Canadians not wanting a Christmas campaign is a little overblown. Obviously if you ask people if they’d prefer a spring campaign versus a winter election, they’ll say they’d prefer a spring campaign. If you ask me if I’d rather go to the dentist in January, or in April, I’d prefer the later date, even though I know I should <\/em>get a cleaning. I can’t for the life of me imagine anyone, <\/em>in all of Canada, changing<\/em> their vote because somebody forced a campaign over Christmas.<\/p>\n

3. Polls III:<\/strong> While the Ipsos poll <\/a>shows the Liberals well in front, they have some rather worrisome “bonus question” results:<\/p>\n

\n

39% say they would be comfortable voting for Stephen Harper and the Conservatives because there will be a minority government to keep them in check
35% say they would be comfortable voting for Paul Martin and the Liberals because they will have learned their lesson from Gomery
26% feel the tax plan was a good idea and makes them more likely to vote Liberal
43% of British Columbia residents say they would never consider voting for Stephen Harper and the Conservatives in the next federal election
70% feel the Liberal tax cut plan is just an attempt to buy votes and it won’t influence them
78% say an election over the holidays won’t affect their party vote<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

<\/strong>
4. Pennies:<\/strong> Finally, a smart move from the Board<\/a>. It baffled me why the Liberals didn’t make the economy their issue during the last campaign. Things are going very well in Canada, and Paul Martin has had a very big hand in making things go very well over the past twelve years. This should definitely be the theme for the Liberal election campaign.<\/p>\n

5. Predictions:<\/strong> There is absolutely no way this will happen<\/a>. Notta. Nope. Nein. Non. Nu-uh. One week from now, the Tories can bring down the government on a harshly worded motion on corruption. If they vote down Liberal tax cuts, they’d be forced to campaign against <\/em>popular tax cuts, instead of against corruption. This one seems like a bit of a no-brainer to me, but maybe someone out there can explain the logic.
<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

1. Polls: The last few polls have shown a surprising degree of consistency. SES: Lib 34% Con 28% Ndp 20%Pollara: Lib 36% Con 28% Ndp 20% Bq 11%Decima: Lib 33% Con 26% Ndp 22% Bq 13%Ipsos: Lib 36%, Con 27%, NDP 16%, BQ 13% In all cases, the Liberals have a 6 to 9% lead. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/553"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=553"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/553\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=553"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=553"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=553"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}