{"id":436,"date":"2005-08-23T10:35:00","date_gmt":"2005-08-23T14:35:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=436"},"modified":"2005-08-23T10:35:00","modified_gmt":"2005-08-23T14:35:00","slug":"details-details","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=436","title":{"rendered":"Details, Details…"},"content":{"rendered":"

The following has most of the raw numbers I used for my projections. If you’d like any more information on how I compiled these projections, just send me an e-mail.<\/p>\n

BC <\/u><\/strong>
new sales:<\/strong>
Kennedy 4000
Rae 3000
Dion 1500
Volpe 1000
Iggy 750
Dryden 200
Brison 200
Fry 50
MHF 40
Bennett 30<\/p>\n

existing:<\/strong>
Kennedy: 2.5
Ignatieff: 2.5
Rae: 2.5
Dion: 2.5<\/p>\n

The existing support is out of ten points for each province and it’s meant to complement the formula so it doesn’t have to be a perfect percentage representation of support. In BC, it seems that existing members are split between the big 4, so I simply gave them each 2.5 points.<\/p>\n

Alberta<\/u><\/strong>
new sales:<\/strong>
Kennedy 1900
Ignatieff 1200
Volpe 1200
Dion 800
Rae 800
Brison 500
MHF 100
Dryden 100
Bennett 75
Fry 10<\/p>\n

existing:<\/strong>
Kennedy 2.5
Ignatieff 2.5
Dion 2
Rae 1
MHF 1
Brison 1<\/p>\n

There are some unaccounted for forms floating around in the new sales department so it’s possible I’m underestimating one of the campaigns for their numbers. I also added about 100 Orchard forms to Dion’s total. I’ve done some phone outs of the existing member list and it’s pretty clear that Ignatieff, Kennedy, and Dion have a lot more support than any of the other candidates.<\/p>\n

Saskatchewan<\/u><\/strong>
new sales:<\/strong>
Rae 600
Kennedy 250
Dion 225
Volpe 125
Brison 100
Ignatieff 50
MHF 20
Bennett 10
Dryden 10<\/p>\n

existing:<\/strong>
Ignatieff 4
Rae 2.5
Kennedy 2
MHF 1.5<\/p>\n

The existing numbers are meant to compensate which is why Ignatieff is high here. His team didn’t do much selling of new forms but he does have a good team on the ground and support among existing members. Similarly, Martha Hall doesn’t have 15% of the membership list, but she certainly has a lot more than the formula would give her credit for here which is why she gets those points.<\/p>\n

Manitoba<\/u><\/strong>
new sales:<\/strong>
Rae 1500
Dryden 1500
Ignatieff 1000
Kennedy 450
Dion 100
Volpe 100
Brison 50
MHF 20
Bennett 10
Fry 5<\/p>\n

existing:<\/strong>
Ignatieff 4
Dryden 3
Rae 2
Kennedy 1<\/p>\n

Once you get past the top three candidates in new sales, the numbers are only approximations and are probably off by quite a bit. This is, without a doubt, Dryden’s best province.<\/p>\n

Ontario<\/u><\/strong>
new sales:<\/strong>
Ignatieff 10000
Kennedy 10000
Volpe 8000
Rae 4500
Dion 4000
Dryden 3500
Brison 2000
MHF 750
Bennett 500
Fry 50<\/p>\n

existing:<\/strong>
Kennedy 3
Ignatieff 3
Dion 2
Volpe 1
MHF 1<\/p>\n

For new sales, there are definitely a few tiers and, once again, I may be off on the lower tier estimates. For existing support, I’m going off word of mouth and the straw poll results from the Spring Fling.<\/p>\n

Quebec<\/u><\/strong>
new sales:<\/strong>
Volpe 4400
Ignatieff 4000
Dion 2500
Rae 1200
Kennedy 500
Dryden 500
Brison 500
MHF 100
Bennett 50
Fry 20<\/p>\n

existing:<\/strong>
Ignatieff 4
Dion 3.5
Rae 1
Kennedy 0.5
Volpe 0.5
Brison 0.5<\/p>\n

The Rae rumours have been all over the place in Quebec but most seem to agree he was third and that the support they’d hoped for in la belle province <\/em>never really materialized.<\/p>\n

New Brunswick<\/u><\/strong>
new sales:<\/strong>
Ignatieff 35
Kennedy 20
Rae 20
Brison 10
Dion 4
Volpe 4
Dryden 3
MHF 2
Bennett 2<\/p>\n

existing<\/strong>:
Ignatieff 4
Kennedy 2
Rae 2
Dion 1
Brison 1<\/p>\n

For the Maritimes, complicated renewal procedures make it very hard to look at new sale totals. Because of this, I simply approximated each province out of 100 for new sales and worked on the assumption that 20% of the memberships sold were new sales (except in Newfoundland where I used 10%).<\/p>\n

Nova Scotia<\/u><\/strong>
new sales:<\/strong>
Brison 40
Ignatieff 22
Kennedy 15
Dion 5
Rae 5
Volpe 5
Dryden 3
MHF 2
Bennett 2
Fry 1<\/p>\n

existing:<\/strong>
Brison 5
Ignatieff 3
Kennedy 2<\/p>\n

This is Scott’s home turf, although it is possible that Ignatieff could win the province. Like I said, I’m not overly confident in my Atlantic Canada numbers.<\/p>\n

PEI<\/u><\/strong>
new sales:<\/strong>
Ignatieff 35
Kennedy 25
Rae 17
Dion 5
Volpe 5
Dryden 5
Brison 5
MHF 1
Bennett 1
Fry 1<\/p>\n

existing:<\/strong>
Ignatieff 3
Brison 2
Kennedy 2
Rae 2
Dion 1<\/p>\n

Newfoundland<\/u><\/strong>
new sales:<\/strong>
Kennedy 23
Rae 18
Volpe 18
Ignatieff 18
Dryden 10
Brison 5
Dion 5
MHF 1
Bennett 1
Fry 1<\/p>\n

existing:<\/strong>
Kennedy 3
Rae 2
Ignatieff 2
Volpe 1
Dryden 1
Dion 0.5
Brison 0.5<\/p>\n

Websites Rankings<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

Iggy 8.75
Dion 7.5
Brison 7.5
Rae 7.5
Dryden 7
Kennedy 7
MHF 5.5
Fry 5.5
Volpe 5.5
Bennett 5<\/p>\n

Endorsements
<\/u><\/strong>Iggy 86
Dion 69
Brison 36
Rae 68
Dryden 45
Kennedy 88
MHF 5
Fry 2
Volpe 8
Bennett 12<\/p>\n

MPs<\/u><\/strong>
Iggy 31
Dion 7
Brison 3
Rae 5
Dryden 3
Kennedy 14
MHF 0
Fry 1
Volpe 6
Bennett 1<\/p>\n

Blog Endorsements<\/u><\/strong>
Iggy 29
Dion 31
Brison 8
Rae 6
Dryden 5
Kennedy 28
MHF 2
Fry 0
Volpe 0
Bennett 1<\/p>\n

Media Mentions<\/u><\/strong>
Iggy 329
Dion 116
Brison 168
Rae 301
Dryden 112
Kennedy 143
MHF 62
Fry 71
Volpe 192
Bennett 99<\/p>\n

Money Raised<\/u><\/strong>
Iggy 293896
Dion 32250
Brison 100674
Rae 384795
Dryden 43617
Kennedy 103778
MHF 34645
Fry 15150
Volpe 210170
Bennett 65100<\/p>\n

Numbers of Donors
<\/u><\/strong>Iggy 525
Dion 65
Brison 112
Rae 208
Dryden 67
Kennedy 142
MHF 56
Fry 15
Volpe 91
Bennett 37<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The following has most of the raw numbers I used for my projections. If you’d like any more information on how I compiled these projections, just send me an e-mail. BC new sales:Kennedy 4000Rae 3000Dion 1500Volpe 1000Iggy 750Dryden 200Brison 200Fry 50MHF 40Bennett 30 existing:Kennedy: 2.5Ignatieff: 2.5Rae: 2.5Dion: 2.5 The existing support is out of ten […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-436","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/436","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=436"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/436\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=436"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=436"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=436"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}