{"id":3014,"date":"2011-05-02T11:30:00","date_gmt":"2011-05-02T15:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=3014"},"modified":"2012-05-29T16:46:52","modified_gmt":"2012-05-29T20:46:52","slug":"polls-projections-predictions-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=3014","title":{"rendered":"Polls, Projections, Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A round-up of what <em>might<\/em>, but probably won&#8217;t, happen tonight:<\/p>\n<p><strong>POLLS<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.legermarketing.com\/documents\/POL\/114301ENG.pdf\">Leger<\/a>: CPC 36%, NDP 31%, Lib 21%, BQ 7%, Green 4%<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.angus-reid.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/2011.04.30_FedPoli_CAN.pdf\">Angus Reid<\/a>: CPC 37%, NDP 33%, Lib 19%, BQ 6%, Green 4%<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ipsos-na.com\/news-polls\/pressrelease.aspx?id=5224\">Ipsos<\/a>: CPC 38%, NDP 33%, Lib 18%, BQ 7%, Green 4%<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nanosresearch.com\/election2011\/20110501-BallotE.pdf\">Nanos<\/a>: CPC 37%, NDP 32%, Lib 21%, BQ 6%, Green 4%<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ekospolitics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/full_report_may_1_2011.pdf\">Ekos<\/a>: CPC 35%, NDP 31%, Lib 20%, BQ 5%, Green 6%<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.harrisdecima.ca\/sites\/default\/files\/releases\/2011\/05\/01\/hd-2011-05-01-en1163.pdf\">Decima<\/a>: CPC 36%, NDP 30%, Lib 19%, BQ 6%, Green 6%<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.thehilltimes.ca\/dailyupdate\/view\/ndp_tories_in_virtual_dead_heat_either_party_could_form_minority_government_says_forum_research_poll_05-01-2011\">Forum<\/a>: CPC 35%, NDP 33%, Lib 19%<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/abacusdata.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/Ballot-May-1-2011.pdf\">Abacus<\/a>: CPC 37%, NDP 32%, Lib 18%, BQ 7%, Green 7%<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/compas.ca\/data\/110501-FedElectionPoll-EPCB.pdf\">Compass<\/a>: CPC 46%, NDP 26%, Lib 17%, BQ 7%, Green 4%<\/p>\n<p><strong>PREDICTIONS &amp; PROJECTIONS<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/threehundredeight.blogspot.com\/2011\/05\/final-projection-conservative-minority.html\">308.com<\/a>: CPC 143, NDP 78, Lib 60, BQ 27<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ridingbyriding.ca\/2011\/05\/01\/1055\">Riding-by-Riding<\/a>: CPC 142, NDP 114, Lib 39, BQ 12, Ind 1<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.trendlines.ca\/\">Trendlines<\/a>: CPC 148, NDP 92, Lib 50, BQ 17<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ekospolitics.com\/index.php\/2011\/05\/our-final-words-and-a-few-more-numbers-may-1-2011\/\">Ekos<\/a>: CPC 138, NDP 113, Lib 41, BQ 15, Green 1<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.wlu.ca\/lispop\/seatprojections.html\">LISPOP<\/a>: CPC 144, NDP 98, Lib 51, BQ 15<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.democraticspace.com\/canada2011\/\">Democratic Space<\/a>: CPC 155, NDP 86, Lib 47, BQ 20<\/p>\n<p>Calgary Grit (<a href=\"http:\/\/calgarygrit.blogspot.com\/2011\/05\/final-seat-projections.html\">projection<\/a>): CPC 151.0, NDP 90.9, Lib 46.9, BQ 18.5, Ind 0.6<\/p>\n<p>Calgary Grit (<a href=\"http:\/\/calgarygrit.blogspot.com\/2011\/05\/final-seat-projections.html\">prediction<\/a>): CPC 146, NDP 83, Lib 55, BQ 22, Green 1, Ind 1<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.electionprediction.org\/2009_fed\/index.php\">Election Prediction Project<\/a>: CPC 146, Lib 63, NDP 65, BQ 33, Ind 1<\/p>\n<p>A few of the readers from this blog have made their predictions in <a href=\"http:\/\/calgarygrit.blogspot.com\/2011\/05\/final-seat-projections.html\">this thread<\/a> &#8211; feel free to join them there, or post yours below. The average prediction from ya&#8217;ll so far is: CPC 143, NDP 88, Lib 54, BQ 22, Ind 1, Green 0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A round-up of what might, but probably won&#8217;t, happen tonight: POLLS Leger: CPC 36%, NDP 31%, Lib 21%, BQ 7%, Green 4% Angus Reid: CPC 37%, NDP 33%, Lib 19%, BQ 6%, Green 4% Ipsos: CPC 38%, NDP 33%, Lib 18%, BQ 7%, Green 4% Nanos: CPC 37%, NDP 32%, Lib 21%, BQ 6%, Green [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false},"categories":[1019,983,11,1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3014"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3014"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3014\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3567,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3014\/revisions\/3567"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3014"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3014"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3014"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}