{"id":3009,"date":"2011-05-01T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2011-05-01T11:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=3009"},"modified":"2012-05-29T16:48:20","modified_gmt":"2012-05-29T20:48:20","slug":"ridings-to-watch-atlantic-canada","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=3009","title":{"rendered":"Ridings to Watch &#8211; Atlantic Canada"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve already profiled close races in <a href=\"http:\/\/calgarygrit.blogspot.com\/2011\/04\/ridings-to-watch-bc.html\">BC<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/calgarygrit.blogspot.com\/2011\/04\/ridings-to-watch-alberta.html\">Alberta<\/a>, and the <a href=\"http:\/\/calgarygrit.blogspot.com\/2011\/04\/ridings-to-watch-saskatoba.html\">Prairies<\/a>. Today, a look at some of the ridings in Atlantic Canada to watch on election night.<\/p>\n<p>With small poll sample sizes in the Atlantic Provinces, it&#8217;s hard to get a sense of what will happen on election night. Moreover, Atlantic provinces don&#8217;t always follow the national trends.<\/p>\n<p>So feel free to share any on the ground intel you have in the comments section.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Newfoundland<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The ABC campaign is no more, with Premier Kathy Dunderdale endorsing the Conservatives. Dunderdale&#8217;s influence is certainly less than Williams&#8217;, but the Tories could take back Avalon, where Senator <a href=\"http:\/\/www.conservative.ca\/?districtId=1233&amp;linkTo=true&amp;section_id=1051\">Fabian Manning<\/a> is running for them. Liberal <a href=\"http:\/\/siobhancoady.liberal.ca\/\">Siobhan Coady<\/a> could also be in tough against the NDP in St. John&#8217;s South-Mount Pearl.<\/p>\n<p><strong>PEI<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Liberals would love to win back Egmont from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.gailshea.ca\/\">Gail Shea<\/a>, with the Tories targeting <a href=\"http:\/\/wayneeaster.com\/\">Wayne Easter<\/a> in Malpeque. Charlottetown could also be in play, due to Shawn Murphy&#8217;s retirement.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Nova Scotia<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>My projection model gives the NDP a good chance to grab Dartmouth-Cole Harbour and Halifax West from the Liberals. The orange wave could also claim Tory incumbent <a href=\"http:\/\/www.geraldkeddy.ca\/\">Gerald Keddy<\/a> in South Shore-St. Margaret&#8217;s.<\/p>\n<p><strong>New Brunswick<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Dominic Leblanc should be safe, but there&#8217;s an outside chance <a href=\"http:\/\/brianmurphy.liberal.ca\/\">Brian Murphy<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/www.jcdamours.ca\/welcome.htm\">Jean-Claude D&#8217;Amours<\/a> could fall if the Liberal vote collapses. At the same time, Miramichi or Saint John could flip Liberal if things break their way.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve already profiled close races in BC, Alberta, and the Prairies. Today, a look at some of the ridings in Atlantic Canada to watch on election night. With small poll sample sizes in the Atlantic Provinces, it&#8217;s hard to get a sense of what will happen on election night. Moreover, Atlantic provinces don&#8217;t always follow [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1019,983],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3009","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-2011-federal-election","category-federal-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3009","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3009"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3009\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3574,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3009\/revisions\/3574"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3009"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3009"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3009"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}