{"id":2972,"date":"2011-04-18T17:25:00","date_gmt":"2011-04-18T21:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=2972"},"modified":"2012-05-29T17:23:31","modified_gmt":"2012-05-29T21:23:31","slug":"scoreboard-watching","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=2972","title":{"rendered":"Scoreboard Watching"},"content":{"rendered":"

As we enter the stretch drive on the campaign trail, I figured I’d check in on the “20 questions<\/a>” pool, to see if the campaign has unfolded as people expected it would. <\/p>\n

Over\/under on the highest level of support the Conservatives will hit in a national election poll – 42%<\/strong> (63% said over<\/em>) <\/p>\n

While Harper’s numbers have been consistently below 40% of late, he did sneak over<\/a> in one early Nanos poll, sparing me from having to rule on whether or not I would accept the COMPAS 45%<\/a> as a legitimate poll. <\/p>\n

Number of times Stephen Harper uses the word “coalition” in the (first) English language debate?<\/strong> (median: 13, mean: 120,653<\/em>) <\/p>\n

By my count, there was only one mention. A View from the Left <\/a>is the closest at “0”, but I’m willing to hand out points to anyone who said 5 or below. <\/p>\n

Who will the instant-polls show as having won the first English language debate?<\/strong> (Ignatieff 39%, Layton 24%, Harper 22%, Duceppe 10%<\/em>) <\/p>\n

Despite Layton’s tour-de-force, the instant polls all showed Harper as the winner. <\/p>\n

Mulcair or Cauchon in Outremont?<\/strong> (73% predicted Mulcair<\/em>) <\/p>\n

A CROP poll<\/a> from a few weeks back had Mulcair leading by 20 points…and this was before the NDP surge in Quebec. I wouldn’t want to count out Martin Cauchon, but in the battle of leadership aspirants, Mulcair is certainly the odds-on favourite at this point. <\/p>\n

Which party will run the most vicious attack ad?<\/strong> (73% said the Tories<\/em>) <\/p>\n

We’ve seen some blood in the water of<\/a> late<\/a>, but I feel like the harshest stuff is yet to come. <\/p>\n

Will the words “abortion”, “women’s right to choose”, or some variant, be used in a TV commercial this campaign?<\/strong> (33% said yes<\/em>) <\/p>\n

So far, the answer is a no. A “yes” here would likely give us a new contender on the previous question. <\/p>\n

Will any Harper Cabinet Ministers appear in an english-language commercial this campaign?<\/strong> (21% said yes<\/em>) <\/p>\n

Unless Tony Clement was in the crowd on that Summit Series footage<\/a>, still no Cabinet Ministers as of yet. <\/p>\n

Will Harper’s sweater vest make an appearance in a Conservative ad?<\/strong> (29% said yes<\/em>) <\/p>\n

Sweater vests are so <\/em>2008 – our fragile economic recovery calls for a suit and tie.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

As we enter the stretch drive on the campaign trail, I figured I’d check in on the “20 questions” pool, to see if the campaign has unfolded as people expected it would. Over\/under on the highest level of support the Conservatives will hit in a national election poll – 42% (63% said over) While Harper’s […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false},"categories":[1019,978,983],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2972"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2972"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2972\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3612,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2972\/revisions\/3612"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2972"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2972"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2972"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}