Three polls to look at today:<\/p>\n
Lib 35%, CPC 30%, NDP 20%, BQ 11%<\/strong> Those are the final pre-election polls<\/a> for the three most recent times Canadians voted out an incumbent government (Jeff has more on the 2005\/06 election here<\/em><\/a>).<\/p>\n In all three instances – 2005\/06, 1993, and 1984<\/em> – the incumbent party led when the writ was dropped. Twice, they fell by 20 percentage points during the campaign.<\/p>\n In fairness, the incumbent party has also led the past five times they were re-elected. Obviously, it’s better to be 10 points up than 10 points down.<\/p>\n But campaigns matter. Let’s not forget that.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Three polls to look at today: Lib 35%, CPC 30%, NDP 20%, BQ 11%PC 36%, Lib 33%, NDP 8%, Ref 11%, BQ 10%Lib 48%, PC 39%, NDP 11% Those are the final pre-election polls for the three most recent times Canadians voted out an incumbent government (Jeff has more on the 2005\/06 election here). In […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2893"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2893"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2893\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2893"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2893"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2893"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
PC 36%, Lib 33%, NDP 8%, Ref 11%, BQ 10%<\/strong>
Lib 48%, PC 39%, NDP 11%<\/strong><\/p>\n