{"id":2816,"date":"2010-12-10T12:00:00","date_gmt":"2010-12-10T17:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=2816"},"modified":"2010-12-10T12:00:00","modified_gmt":"2010-12-10T17:00:00","slug":"this-week-in-alberta-polling-numbers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=2816","title":{"rendered":"This Week in Alberta: Polling Numbers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A round up of recent news stories from Alberta:<\/p>\n<p>1. The Wildrose Alliance have had their first semi-public internal party dust up, over the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thepolitic.com\/archives\/2010\/11\/25\/little-bow-wildrose-alliance-constituency-association-resigns\/\">Little Bow<\/a> nomination. While this certainly isn&#8217;t <em>good news<\/em> by any means, it does show that a Wildrose nomination is now worth fighting over. The airing of internal party dirty laundry on the Internet is really just a coming of age ritual for political parties.<\/p>\n<p>2. Justin Archer pens a <a href=\"http:\/\/daveberta.ca\/2010\/11\/guest-post-liberal-party-perspective-on-the-alberta-party\/\">guest post<\/a> over at Daveberta on an Alberta Liberal&#8217;s perspective of the Alberta Party. By and large, I tend to agree with Justin. Personally, I think the best bet would have been to blow up the ALP after the last election and start fresh &#8211; a new name, new members, an outsider in charge. If done correctly, the new party could very well have capitalized on a lot of the anti-Stelmach feelings Danielle Smith has instead lassoed. I&#8217;m a Liberal but that means I&#8217;m also a pragmatist, so I&#8217;m by no means one of these &#8220;<em>we&#8217;ve lost as Liberals for 80 years and dammit, I&#8217;m ready to lose as Liberals for another 80<\/em>&#8221; people.<\/p>\n<p>But because I&#8217;m a pragmatist, I just don&#8217;t see the Alberta Party being able to suck up enough oxygen to survive, so long as the ALP lives. It&#8217;s always great to have more options, and I&#8217;m sure they&#8217;ll appeal to a lot of former Green voters, but the party is basically advocating Liberal policies, and I&#8217;m skeptical this movement will accomplish much more than wounding the ALP (more so in the form of lost volunteers than lost votes).<\/p>\n<p>3. An <a href=\"http:\/\/www.calgaryherald.com\/news\/Poll+Wildrose+support+grows+Albertans+worry+about+health+care\/3931855\/story.html\">Environics poll <\/a>is out, with the Liberals down slightly and the Wildrose up slightly from May:<\/p>\n<p>PC  34%<br \/>WRA  32%<br \/>ALP  19%<br \/>NDP  13%<\/p>\n<p>Most notably, the poll shows the Wildrose on the rise in Edmonton which is probably the one consolation the Liberals can take from these numbers &#8211; after all, a split right wing vote in Calgary and Edmonton means they&#8217;ll pick up seats <em>so long as they get their act together<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/albertavote.ca\/2010\/12\/seat-projections\/\">AlbertaVote<\/a> has done up a seat projection which shows the PCs with a slim majority (45 seats), the Alliance a strong second (32 seats), and the ALP (5 seats) and NDP (3 seats) taking just a handful of seats.<\/p>\n<p>Although I enjoy a good seat projection as much as the next statistical\/political nerd, I&#8217;d be really cautious about extrapolating out these poll results into seats. And not just because we&#8217;re only talking about 200-300 decided voters in each region. The big problem is the emergence of the Wildrose Alliance is such a wild card that you can&#8217;t expect vote patterns to shift normally.<\/p>\n<p>But hey, a little unpredictability in Alberta politics is a refreshing change.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A round up of recent news stories from Alberta: 1. The Wildrose Alliance have had their first semi-public internal party dust up, over the Little Bow nomination. While this certainly isn&#8217;t good news by any means, it does show that a Wildrose nomination is now worth fighting over. The airing of internal party dirty laundry [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2816"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2816"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2816\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2816"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2816"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2816"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}