{"id":2615,"date":"2010-04-05T18:50:00","date_gmt":"2010-04-05T22:50:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=2615"},"modified":"2010-04-05T18:50:00","modified_gmt":"2010-04-05T22:50:00","slug":"post-budget-poll-soup","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=2615","title":{"rendered":"Post-Budget Poll Soup"},"content":{"rendered":"

With the Tories widening their polling lead over the Liberals in March, it’s easy to attribute this to a post-Olympic bounce, or reaction to the federal budget. But the Olympic bounce logic never made much sense to me, and given I<\/em> can’t even remember three details about the budget, I’d imagine it hasn’t had a huge impact on most regular Canadians.<\/p>\n

Rather, I tend to attribute the change in support from January and February to the prorogation backlash gradually dissipating. The Conservatives certainly aren’t back to their end-of-2009 support levels, but a it looks to me like some disgruntled Tories are heading home.<\/p>\n

\"\"
Ekos <\/a><\/strong>(March 24-30, n=1855 demon dialled)
CPC 32.2%
Lib 27.0%
NDP 16.0%
BQ 9.0%
Green 12.7%
Other 3.1%<\/p>\n

Angus Reid<\/strong> <\/a>(March 25-26, n=1004 online)
CPC 35%
Lib 29%
NDP 20%
BQ 9%
Green 7%<\/p>\n

IpsosReid<\/strong> <\/a>(March 16-18, n=1001 phone)
CPC 34%
Lib 28%
NDP 18%
BQ 9%
Green 10%<\/p>\n

Nanos<\/strong> <\/a>(March 6-12, n = 1000 telephone)
CPC 34.7%
Lib 34.6%
NDP 17.8%
BQ 7.7%
Green 5.2%<\/p>\n

AVERAGE<\/u><\/strong> (change since February in brackets<\/em>)<\/p>\n

Conservative Party: 34.0%<\/strong> (+0.8%)
<\/span>Liberal Party: 29.2%<\/strong> (-2.8%)<\/span>
<\/span>NDP: 18.0%<\/strong> (+2.0%)<\/span>
Bloc Quebecois: 8.7%<\/strong> (-0.2%)
<\/span>Green Party 8.7%<\/strong> (-0.2%)<\/span><\/p>\n

IN OTHER POLLING NEWS…<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

For Liberals despondent over limp federal numbers, and lackluster approval numbers<\/a> for Misters Charest, McGuinty, Campbell, and Graham, rest assured…we’ve still got PEI<\/a>! The last bastion of Liberalism remains as red as Anne’s hair!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

With the Tories widening their polling lead over the Liberals in March, it’s easy to attribute this to a post-Olympic bounce, or reaction to the federal budget. But the Olympic bounce logic never made much sense to me, and given I can’t even remember three details about the budget, I’d imagine it hasn’t had a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2615"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2615"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2615\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2615"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2615"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2615"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}