{"id":2417,"date":"2009-09-17T23:39:00","date_gmt":"2009-09-18T03:39:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=2417"},"modified":"2009-09-17T23:39:00","modified_gmt":"2009-09-18T03:39:00","slug":"dalton-mcguintys-giant-sigh-of-relief","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=2417","title":{"rendered":"Dalton McGuinty&#8217;s Giant Sigh of Relief"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I need to start this off with the mandatory &#8220;<em>by elections are meaningless blah blah blah<\/em>&#8221; disclaimer. And, at first glance, it&#8217;s hard for <a href=\"http:\/\/www.elections.on.ca\/en-CA\/ElectionNightResults2009.htm\">results<\/a> to look any <em>less<\/em> meaningless than what we got:<\/p>\n<p><strong><span class=\"blsp-spelling-error\" id=\"SPELLING_ERROR_0\">Hoskins<\/span> (Lib) &#8211; 47%<\/strong> (&#8211;)<br \/><strong>Levy (PC) &#8211; 29%<\/strong> (+2%)<br \/><strong>Heller (<span class=\"blsp-spelling-error\" id=\"SPELLING_ERROR_1\">NDP<\/span>) &#8211; 17%<\/strong> (+1%)<br \/><strong><span class=\"blsp-spelling-error\" id=\"SPELLING_ERROR_2\">Chopik<\/span> (GP) &#8211; 5%<\/strong> (-3%)<\/p>\n<p>Ho hum. Toss in the low voter turn-out (I&#8217;d project it out to be about 33% when all the votes are counted) and the fact that the Liberals didn&#8217;t have to face a Wild Rose Alliance candidate, and this looks like just a run of the mill Liberal hold.<\/p>\n<p>But the ingredients were all in place for an upset. Consider:<\/p>\n<p>1. A long time, high profile, popular incumbent leaves office<br \/>2. A two-term government with a comfortable majority (safe to &#8220;send a message&#8221;)<br \/>3. HST<br \/>4. <span class=\"blsp-spelling-error\" id=\"SPELLING_ERROR_3\">OLG<\/span><br \/>5. E-Health<br \/>6. Did I mention HST?<br \/>7. A new Tory leader<\/p>\n<p>And, yeah, the former Liberal <span class=\"blsp-spelling-error\" id=\"SPELLING_ERROR_4\">MPP <\/span>is facing manslaughter charges.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/2.bp.blogspot.com\/_L6NW1UySEKs\/SrMGJTW7otI\/AAAAAAAABXU\/zbGSHvQnSxg\/s1600-h\/stpauls.jpg\"><img id=\"BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5382652736522920658\" style=\"FLOAT: left; MARGIN: 0px 10px 10px 0px; WIDTH: 200px; CURSOR: hand; HEIGHT: 149px\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/2.bp.blogspot.com\/_L6NW1UySEKs\/SrMGJTW7otI\/AAAAAAAABXU\/zbGSHvQnSxg\/s200\/stpauls.jpg\" border=\"0\" \/><\/a>So this could have been a disaster for <span class=\"blsp-spelling-error\" id=\"SPELLING_ERROR_5\">McGuinty<\/span>. Instead, he gets a convincing win, which should stem any momentum Tim <span class=\"blsp-spelling-error\" id=\"SPELLING_ERROR_6\">Hudak<\/span> may have been building, and earn McGuinty a far more favourable narrative than he would have gotten had St. Paul&#8217;s fallen.<\/p>\n<p>Oh, and lost in all the above analysis is the fact that a great humanitarian, Dr. Eric <span class=\"blsp-spelling-error\" id=\"SPELLING_ERROR_7\">Hoskins<\/span>, is now an <span class=\"blsp-spelling-error\" id=\"SPELLING_ERROR_8\">MPP<\/span>. This is a guy who has given his life to helping heal children in war zones around the world. I was door knocking tonight with a University friend of Eric&#8217;s who first met him in Ethiopia, and he couldn&#8217;t stop saying great things to say about Eric. Quite simply, this man is in politics for all the right reasons, and we need more people like Eric <span class=\"blsp-spelling-error\" id=\"SPELLING_ERROR_9\">Hoskins<\/span> involved in the political process. So maybe it&#8217;s best to look past the spin and just focus in on that.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I need to start this off with the mandatory &#8220;by elections are meaningless blah blah blah&#8221; disclaimer. And, at first glance, it&#8217;s hard for results to look any less meaningless than what we got: Hoskins (Lib) &#8211; 47% (&#8211;)Levy (PC) &#8211; 29% (+2%)Heller (NDP) &#8211; 17% (+1%)Chopik (GP) &#8211; 5% (-3%) Ho hum. Toss in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false},"categories":[55],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2417"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2417"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2417\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2417"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2417"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2417"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}