{"id":2318,"date":"2009-06-21T22:05:00","date_gmt":"2009-06-22T02:05:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=2318"},"modified":"2009-06-21T22:05:00","modified_gmt":"2009-06-22T02:05:00","slug":"game-theory-in-canadian-politics-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=2318","title":{"rendered":"Game Theory in Canadian Politics (3)"},"content":{"rendered":"

HoserToHoosier<\/span><\/span> offers the definitive look at the Harper\/Ignatieff<\/span><\/span> stand-off from a game theory perspective<\/a>. Based on his assumptions, the Nash Equilibrium from the current conflict suggested a compromise (which we got), but Ignatieff<\/span><\/span> is almost certain to force an election in the fall.<\/p>\n

Given this, I would take it one step further, and argue that the rational play for Harper would be to strike a deal with the NDP<\/span><\/span> or Bloc. The drawback there is the high cost (political cost, not monetary cost…what’s another 1 or 2 billion at this point<\/em>?) associated with the deal, given the harsh words we’ve seen over the past year. I mean, I’m already relishing the idea of posts titled “Harper’s separatist coalition<\/em>“, or “Gilles Duceppe<\/span><\/span> looked in the mirror and saw Stephane<\/span><\/span> Dion<\/em>“.<\/p>\n

So, for any deal to happen, the “humiliation cost” would need to be less than the “electoral cost” of going to the polls. Or, failing<\/span> that, if the Bloc or NDP<\/span><\/span> could milk enough out of Harper such that the “results of people\/Quebecers<\/span><\/span> benefit” outweighs the “humiliation cost”, it might be in their best interests to deal.<\/p>\n

So, the long and short of it is this: if we do see a deal to keep this parliament alive past Christmas, it won’t<\/em> be with the Liberals, and the payoff will be a whole lot more than a blue ribbon committee.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

HoserToHoosier offers the definitive look at the Harper\/Ignatieff stand-off from a game theory perspective. Based on his assumptions, the Nash Equilibrium from the current conflict suggested a compromise (which we got), but Ignatieff is almost certain to force an election in the fall. Given this, I would take it one step further, and argue that […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2318"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2318"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2318\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2318"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2318"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2318"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}