{"id":2308,"date":"2009-06-15T18:23:00","date_gmt":"2009-06-15T22:23:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=2308"},"modified":"2009-06-15T18:23:00","modified_gmt":"2009-06-15T22:23:00","slug":"game-theory-in-canadian-politics-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=2308","title":{"rendered":"Game Theory in Canadian Politics"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>OK, so what are the options?<\/p>\n<p>1) Harper refused to compromise, opposition votes non-confidence -> <strong>ELECTION<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>2) Harper refuses to compromise, opposition rolls over -> <strong>NO ELECTION<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>3) Harper compromises, opposition votes non-confidence -> <strong>ELECTION<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>4) Harper compromises, opposition lets government survive -> <strong>NO ELECTION<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>5) Wild card (i.e. prorogation, Harper pulls the plug himself, etc&#8230;)<\/p>\n<p>At this point, I just can&#8217;t see option 2 coming to pass, as <span class=\"blsp-spelling-error\" id=\"SPELLING_ERROR_0\">Ignatieff<\/span> would look worse than Dion ever did and would be ridiculed by the press all summer long. I think rolling over was a very legitimate option today, but after issuing a new set of demands, it&#8217;s just not in the cards. I suppose there remains a small chance the <span class=\"blsp-spelling-error\" id=\"SPELLING_ERROR_1\">NDP<\/span> or Bloc might keep Harper afloat, but they&#8217;ve been fairly definitive in saying they&#8217;ll vote against him at every opportunity.<\/p>\n<p>So, with that in mind, the ball is in Stephen Harper&#8217;s court &#8211; what are his options?<\/p>\n<p>Well, if he wants an election, he has three ways to go about it (1, 3, 5). Presumably, he&#8217;d want to shift the election blame on to the Liberals, which might lead us to scenario 3, where Harper agrees to some of <span class=\"blsp-spelling-error\" id=\"SPELLING_ERROR_2\">Ignatieff&#8217;s<\/span> rather ambiguous demands, but not enough to earn their confidence. Or, he could sneer at the opposition and simply dare them to bring his government down, trying to look like a strong, confident leader (option 1).<\/p>\n<p>Now, if Harper <em>doesn&#8217;t <\/em>want an election, he has the opportunity to avoid it. <span class=\"blsp-spelling-error\" id=\"SPELLING_ERROR_3\">Ignatieff&#8217;s<\/span> demands really aren&#8217;t that onerous (a plan here, a promise there&#8230;), and Harper doesn&#8217;t even have to cave to <span class=\"blsp-spelling-error\" id=\"SPELLING_ERROR_4\">Ignatieff<\/span> &#8211; there are two other opposition leaders out there who might relish the opportunity of getting some &#8220;<em>results for people<\/em>&#8220;\/&#8221;<em>results for <span class=\"blsp-spelling-error\" id=\"SPELLING_ERROR_5\">Quebecers<\/span><\/em>&#8220;. And, quite frankly, when the deficit is over 50 billion dollars, is anyone really going to care much if Jack Layton gets a few billion for a pet project of his?<\/p>\n<p>So, the decision is Harper&#8217;s. And, truth be told, I have no <span class=\"blsp-spelling-error\" id=\"SPELLING_ERROR_6\">friggin<\/span>&#8216; clue what he&#8217;ll decide.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>OK, so what are the options? 1) Harper refused to compromise, opposition votes non-confidence -> ELECTION 2) Harper refuses to compromise, opposition rolls over -> NO ELECTION 3) Harper compromises, opposition votes non-confidence -> ELECTION 4) Harper compromises, opposition lets government survive -> NO ELECTION 5) Wild card (i.e. prorogation, Harper pulls the plug himself, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2308"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2308"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2308\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2308"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2308"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2308"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}