{"id":1979,"date":"2008-10-14T23:59:00","date_gmt":"2008-10-15T03:59:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=1979"},"modified":"2008-10-14T23:59:00","modified_gmt":"2008-10-15T03:59:00","slug":"election-08","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=1979","title":{"rendered":"Election ’08"},"content":{"rendered":"

Results<\/strong>
Elections Canada<\/a>
Wikipedia<\/a>
SFU<\/a>
Nodice<\/a>
Fringe Parties
<\/a><\/p>\n

Ad Watch<\/strong>
The Winners <\/a>
Bad Actors Love Harper (CPC)<\/a>
See the Softer Side of Jack (NDP)<\/a>
Jack Attack (NDP)<\/a>
Green Shift (Liberal)<\/a>
Viva Loss Vegas (CPC)<\/a>
Harpernomics (Liberal)<\/a>
Jack Attaque (NDP)<\/a>
Pot Pourri<\/a>
Bushwacked (Liberal)<\/a>
Runaway Train (Greens)<\/a>
Doodling Dippers (NDP)<\/a>
Subtle Micro-Targeting (CPC)<\/a><\/p>\n

Projections and Predictions<\/strong>
Throughout the campaign, I used public polling data to project seat totals. The first set of projections, explaining the methodology, can be found here<\/a>, with my final projections here<\/a>. Other updates can be found here<\/a>, here<\/a>, and here<\/a>. So how did I do? It was a missed bag. The NDP and Bloc projections were spot on but the final Liberal and Conservative totals were outside the margin of error. Still, when compared to the other projections and predictions being made<\/a>, the model held up respectably:<\/p>\n

1. Calgary Grit predictions (total miss: 16 seats)
2. Ekos predictions (total miss: 18 seats)
3. Calgary Grit simulation model (total miss: 23.6 seats)
4. Barry Kay projections (total miss: 24 seats)
5. Andrew Coyne predictions (total miss: 26 seats)
6. UBC Stock market (total miss: 30 seats)
6. David Aiken predictions (total miss: 30 seats)
8. Democratic Space (total miss: 36 seats)
8. Kady O’Malley predictions (total miss: 36 seats)
10. Election Prediction Project (total miss: 38 seats)<\/p>\n

Week in Review<\/strong>
Week 1 in Review<\/a>
Week 2 in Review<\/a>
Week 3 in Review<\/a>
Week 4 in Review<\/a>
Week 5 in Review<\/a><\/p>\n

Posts<\/strong>
Debate Drinking Game<\/a>
French Debate Live Blog<\/a>
English Debate Live Blog<\/a>
Better Know a Riding – Papineau<\/a>
Election Day <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ResultsElections CanadaWikipediaSFUNodiceFringe Parties Ad WatchThe Winners Bad Actors Love Harper (CPC)See the Softer Side of Jack (NDP)Jack Attack (NDP)Green Shift (Liberal)Viva Loss Vegas (CPC)Harpernomics (Liberal)Jack Attaque (NDP)Pot PourriBushwacked (Liberal)Runaway Train (Greens)Doodling Dippers (NDP)Subtle Micro-Targeting (CPC) Projections and PredictionsThroughout the campaign, I used public polling data to project seat totals. The first set of projections, explaining […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1979","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1979","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1979"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1979\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1979"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1979"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1979"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}