{"id":1938,"date":"2008-09-27T11:50:00","date_gmt":"2008-09-27T15:50:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=1938"},"modified":"2008-09-27T11:50:00","modified_gmt":"2008-09-27T15:50:00","slug":"seat-projections-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=1938","title":{"rendered":"Seat Projections"},"content":{"rendered":"

For a full description of methodology used, please see: <\/em>Week 1 Projections<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

The polls have taken a turn for the worse for the Liberals, and my projections now show Harper with a 52.3% chance of a majority…and that’s mainly due to older sample that hasn’t completely decayed in weight yet. As always though, things can change a lot between now and election day.<\/p>\n

From a methodology perspective, I’m hoping to see a few more regional breakdowns on some of these polls so that some of the Montreal\/Toronto dynamics can be better taken into account.<\/p>\n

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For a full description of methodology used, please see: Week 1 Projections The polls have taken a turn for the worse for the Liberals, and my projections now show Harper with a 52.3% chance of a majority…and that’s mainly due to older sample that hasn’t completely decayed in weight yet. As always though, things can […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false},"categories":[411],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1938"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1938"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1938\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1938"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1938"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1938"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}