{"id":1924,"date":"2008-09-19T10:18:00","date_gmt":"2008-09-19T14:18:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=1924"},"modified":"2008-09-19T10:18:00","modified_gmt":"2008-09-19T14:18:00","slug":"seat-projections-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=1924","title":{"rendered":"Seat Projections"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>For a full description of methodology used, please see: <a href=\"http:\/\/calgarygrit.blogspot.com\/2008\/09\/seat-projections.html\">Week 1 Projections<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p>With three companies running daily tracking polls, there&#8217;s a lot more data available, which has decreased some of the variance in my projection model.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ve also tweaked the system slightly by weighting the Ekos polls less &#8211; with the demon dialing, the&#8217;re getting much larger samples than the other companies and were dominating the model.<\/p>\n<p>No other changes in methodology from last week, so without further adieu, here is where things sit. Again, as a disclaimer, these results are only as good as the publicly released polls and makes no effort to project where things will be at on October 14th.<\/p>\n<p><img id=\"BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5247533705263048050\" style=\"DISPLAY: block; MARGIN: 0px auto 10px; CURSOR: hand; TEXT-ALIGN: center\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/2.bp.blogspot.com\/_L6NW1UySEKs\/SNL8GjEX5XI\/AAAAAAAAAkQ\/dZRQvDLI5y4\/s320\/Slide1.JPG\" border=\"0\" \/><img id=\"BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5247533772197958850\" style=\"DISPLAY: block; MARGIN: 0px auto 10px; CURSOR: hand; TEXT-ALIGN: center\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/3.bp.blogspot.com\/_L6NW1UySEKs\/SNL8Kca5lMI\/AAAAAAAAAkY\/-sJXw45ojQo\/s320\/Slide2.JPG\" border=\"0\" \/><img id=\"BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5247533824646365986\" style=\"DISPLAY: block; MARGIN: 0px auto 10px; CURSOR: hand; TEXT-ALIGN: center\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/2.bp.blogspot.com\/_L6NW1UySEKs\/SNL8NfzkwyI\/AAAAAAAAAkg\/rZgI3wF3K60\/s320\/Slide3.JPG\" border=\"0\" \/><img id=\"BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5247533887093651938\" style=\"DISPLAY: block; MARGIN: 0px auto 10px; CURSOR: hand; TEXT-ALIGN: center\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/3.bp.blogspot.com\/_L6NW1UySEKs\/SNL8RIcKueI\/AAAAAAAAAko\/cVtJiGVt3f0\/s320\/Slide4.JPG\" border=\"0\" \/><img id=\"BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5247533939259415138\" style=\"DISPLAY: block; MARGIN: 0px auto 10px; CURSOR: hand; TEXT-ALIGN: center\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/2.bp.blogspot.com\/_L6NW1UySEKs\/SNL8UKxdGmI\/AAAAAAAAAkw\/JKBgtNMueQo\/s320\/Slide5.JPG\" border=\"0\" \/><strong><\/strong><img id=\"BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5247533983471315154\" style=\"DISPLAY: block; MARGIN: 0px auto 10px; CURSOR: hand; TEXT-ALIGN: center\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/4.bp.blogspot.com\/_L6NW1UySEKs\/SNL8WveZKNI\/AAAAAAAAAk4\/R7OMh83q6k8\/s320\/Slide6.JPG\" border=\"0\" \/><img id=\"BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5247534024809600994\" style=\"DISPLAY: block; MARGIN: 0px auto 10px; CURSOR: hand; TEXT-ALIGN: center\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/2.bp.blogspot.com\/_L6NW1UySEKs\/SNL8ZJeNV-I\/AAAAAAAAAlA\/mektnNVUHos\/s320\/Slide7.JPG\" border=\"0\" \/> <\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><centre><strong>Simulation Totals<\/centre><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img id=\"BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5247525152682716994\" style=\"DISPLAY: block; MARGIN: 0px auto 10px; CURSOR: hand; TEXT-ALIGN: center\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/3.bp.blogspot.com\/_L6NW1UySEKs\/SNL0UuOUr0I\/AAAAAAAAAkA\/7pgrVHrxGuc\/s320\/CPC.jpg\" border=\"0\" \/><img id=\"BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5247525082757144418\" style=\"DISPLAY: block; MARGIN: 0px auto 10px; CURSOR: hand; TEXT-ALIGN: center\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/4.bp.blogspot.com\/_L6NW1UySEKs\/SNL0QpuxH2I\/AAAAAAAAAj4\/ATK28F6J0QM\/s320\/Liberal.jpg\" border=\"0\" \/><img id=\"BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5247524941334390962\" style=\"DISPLAY: block; MARGIN: 0px auto 10px; CURSOR: hand; TEXT-ALIGN: center\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/3.bp.blogspot.com\/_L6NW1UySEKs\/SNL0Ia49KLI\/AAAAAAAAAjw\/9OkS-l0ptLM\/s320\/NDP.jpg\" border=\"0\" \/><img id=\"BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5247525200904506882\" style=\"DISPLAY: block; MARGIN: 0px auto 10px; CURSOR: hand; TEXT-ALIGN: center\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/1.bp.blogspot.com\/_L6NW1UySEKs\/SNL0Xh3SzgI\/AAAAAAAAAkI\/iZqiOm9MPIs\/s320\/Bloc.jpg\" border=\"0\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For a full description of methodology used, please see: Week 1 Projections With three companies running daily tracking polls, there&#8217;s a lot more data available, which has decreased some of the variance in my projection model. I&#8217;ve also tweaked the system slightly by weighting the Ekos polls less &#8211; with the demon dialing, the&#8217;re getting [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false},"categories":[411],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1924"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1924"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1924\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1924"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1924"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1924"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}