{"id":1121,"date":"2006-10-18T18:45:00","date_gmt":"2006-10-18T22:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=1121"},"modified":"2006-10-18T18:45:00","modified_gmt":"2006-10-18T22:45:00","slug":"the-mail-arrives-in-bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/?p=1121","title":{"rendered":"The Mail Arrives in BC"},"content":{"rendered":"

What’s the old saying about elections being decided by the time BC results come in? Well, in this instance, the delay was a bit more than 3 hours, but BC has finally reported their delegate totals (pending appeals related to the Bob Rae funny business<\/a>). With 23 ridings to go, the Liberal delegate totals<\/a> sit as such:<\/p>\n

Ignatieff – 1379 (29%)
Rae – 949 (20%)
Kennedy – 817 (17.2%)
Dion – 770 (16.2%)
Dryden – 244 (5.1%)
Volpe – 230 (4.8%)
Brison – 185 (3.9%)
Findlay – 42 (0.9%)
Undeclared – 133 (2.8%)<\/p>\n

One imagines the ex-officio count <\/a>will shift Iggy up slightly and Rae down a tad but the real key will be how effective campaigns are at getting their delegates to Montreal.<\/p>\n

As for the convention itself, I think the likeliest scenario is something along these lines:<\/p>\n

Ballot 1: <\/strong>Similar results to above. The bottom four all drop off before round 2.
Ballot 2: <\/strong>The three-way mexican standoff <\/a>has it’s first round. In all likelihood, either Dion or Kennedy finish fourth and drop off.
Ballot 3: <\/strong>The standoff becomes a two man race between Rae and either Kennedy or Dion. If the fourth place finisher endorses one of the other two, that man moves on. If number 4 endorses Iggy, Ignatieff is likely close enough to make the last ballot a formality.
Ballot 4: <\/strong>Kennedy\/Rae\/Dion take on Iggy for the top prize.<\/p>\n

I’m still trying to figure out permutations where Joe Volpe comes out on top but most of them involve massive earthquakes swallowing up large amounts of the Montreal Convention Centre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

What’s the old saying about elections being decided by the time BC results come in? Well, in this instance, the delay was a bit more than 3 hours, but BC has finally reported their delegate totals (pending appeals related to the Bob Rae funny business). With 23 ridings to go, the Liberal delegate totals sit […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1121","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1121","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1121"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1121\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1121"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1121"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.calgarygrit.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1121"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}