-
The Fall and Rise of Dalton McGuinty
If I told you a few months ago there would be a picture of Dalton McGuinty waving on newspaper front pages October 7th, you’d have assumed it would be on the Sun, directly below a “GOODBYE! GOOD RIDDANCE!” headline . After all, when the unofficial campaign kicked off this spring, McGuinty was 10 or 15 […]
-
Majority-ish
With nearly all the votes counted, here’s how it looks: Lib 53PC 37NDP 17 Which, as you will hear about fifty billion times this weekend, leaves the Liberals one seat shy of a majority government. However not all minorities are created equal, and failing to win that last seat isn’t the complete failure many will […]
-
Ontario Votes
I won’t be providing many updates tonight, but will offer some thoughts before heading off to bed, with the mandatory post-mortems coming tomorrow. By all means, share your thoughts in the comments section as the results roll in.
-
Ontario Votes
Ontarians head to the polls today, with the two parties deadlocked a Liberal majority looming a PC victory likely the outcome still up in the air. I’ll be voting for Dalton McGuinty. No surprise there. But I still want to take a moment to explain why, because I truly believe this is a government deserving […]
-
“The Tories are not going to win. This campaign is all but finished"
Those are the words of Ipsos’ John Wright. If Tim Hudak is worried about a Liberal-NDP coalition, there’s only one way to prevent it at this point – and it’s not by voting PC. Ipsos (Sep 30 to Oct 3; n = 1200 phone)Lib 41%PC 31%NDP 25%Green 3% Nanos (Oct 1 to 3; n = […]
-
The Sun Won’t Come Out For Hudak
The Toronto Star’s endorsement of Dalton McGuinty shouldn’t surprise anyone. Yes, they were briefly the “Orange Star” this spring, but anyone who has read their Ontario election coverage saw this one coming a mile away. Today’s Globe endorsement is likely a bit more meaningful – at least, if you think newspaper endorsements mean much of […]
-
The Morning After
Last night was the lone televised debate of the Ontario election campaign. With the vote too close to call, a lot was riding on it, and after last night… …not a heck of a lot changed. I have a hard time seeing how anyone would actually change their mind as a result of last night’s […]
-
Ontario Debates
No one knows who will win the Ontario election, two of the three leaders remain virtual unknowns, and the campaign still lacks a ballot question. Yet somehow, without warning, Ontario finds itself just 9 sleeps away from Voting Day. So tonight’s debate will be important. I’ll be live-blogging the festivities starting at 6:30, and will […]
-
On Top
Yes, we all had a good snicker at last week’s Decima poll which showed the Liberals 11 points up in Ontario. But lo and behold, a double dose of polls last night, both showing Dalton McGuinty back on top: Nanos (Sep 10-11, n = 507 phone) Lib 38%PC 35%NDP 24%Green 3% Ipsos (Sep 7-11, n […]
-
Ontario Votes 2011
The writ drops tomorrow in Ontario for an October 6th vote, but for all intents and purposes, the campaign is already well under way. So for those tuning in after a summer away from politics, here’s where the parties sit. THE PLAYERS Gone for the PCs is the lovable loser John Tory, replaced with Tim […]