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Poll Position
Liblogs was engulfed in a virulent debate this morning about why the Nanos numbers were so far off from everyone else. Well, that didn’t last long: Nanos: CPC 38, Lib 27, NDP 21, BQ 8, Green 6Decima: CPC 37, Lib 24, NDP 17, BQ 8, Green 11Ekos: CPC 36, Lib 25, NDP 19, BQ 8, […]
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Mid-Week July News
I’ll be launching the “Biggest Election” contest later tomorrow (some good posts on the subject can be found here and here) Until then, a mish-mash of news stories: 1. Kady O’Malley calls BS on Jennifer Wright’s claim that Green Shift has received “numerous angry and threatening calls and emails” from people mistakenly thinking they were […]
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There’s something happening here, What it is ain’t exactly clear
A pair of pre-election polls were released this week, painting very different pictures of the upcoming Alberta election. If you only look at the horse race numbers, there’s not much to be cheerful about in Liberal land – the Strategic Counsel had the PCs at 58% of decided voters, while Leger had them at 49%. […]
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Meltdown
Lib 32CPC 30NDP 15Green 12BQ 10 (guess) You know what this means don’t you? Well, not much except the Tories will be “going up” in the next poll…
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Poll Parade
The poll numbers seem a bit all over the place over the past week, with the Tory lead ranging from 14 points to…zero. Here’s the average of the Decima, Ipsos, SES, and SC numbers that have been published over the past seven days: CPC 35.75Lib 30.75NDP 17.25Green 9.5BQ 8.5 In other words, we’re right back […]
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Monday News
1. ABCer had the exact same thought I had after reading Jay Hill’s attempt at spin in the Hill Times. 2. It got a bit overshadowed by the Mulroney saga but Dion’s poverty plan is an encouraging sign that the Liberals won’t be going green 24/7 during the next campaign. The reviews so far have […]
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Weekend News
1. The latest Ipsos poll has Canadians warming to Stephen Harper. OK, so they may not yet feel about him the way Ellen DeGeneres feels about homeless puppies, but it’s getting there. 58% of Canadians want a majority government and 58% of those want a Tory majority. Which means Harper is looking at a pretty […]
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Wednesday Round Up
Municipal: On the municipal election front, things are heating up. Imagine my surprise when my Tuesday night joindave newsletter had veiled references directed towards the Go Alnoor campaign not once, but twice. The first was a response to Dave’s proposal for six new taxes that Dave now says are not a “priority” [note to Love […]
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Polls
The Globe has a very detailed poll out today on perceptions of Stephen Harper. There are a lot of interesting questions in there but the quick and dirty of it is that Harper isn’t all that popular with Canadians but Canadians are fairly happy with his government as a whole (at least on the right/track […]
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Up For Grabs
Cameron Strategies has a new poll out and there’s a real Alberta stampede of voters away from Ed Stelmach. Still, the news isn’t all good for the Alberta Liberals, who can’t seem to capitalize on the “free agent voters” out there. The result is a remarkable 36% undecided rate – I don’t think I’ve ever […]