Category: Polls

  • Shockingly, the Iqaluit typo hasn’t proven to be a game changer for the Liberals

    Ipsos shows the biggest Tory lead since the coalition days: CPC 39%Lib 28%NDP 14%Green 10%BQ 7% It bears noting that every other poll published over the past month has had the parties neck–and–neck.

  • June Poll Soup

    Well, after months of consistent gains, the Liberal momentum stalled in June, with their mean lead on the Tories down to 2 points. Ekos (June 25-29, n = 2262 demon dialed) Lib 32.2%CPC 31.0%NDP 16.2%Green 11.5%BQ 9.0% Nanos (June 17-21, n = 781 telephone) Lib 36.3%CPC 32.2%NDP 16.8%BQ 9.8%Green 4.8% Angus Reid (June 17-18, n […]

  • Your May Poll Soup

    Even though May’s a good month for horse racing, there haven’t been a lot of horse race polls out lately (well, outside of Quebec anyways). Ipsos Reid (May 20-24, n = 1000)Lib 33%CPC 35%NDP 14%BQ 9%Green 8% Strategic Counsel (May 6-10, n = 1500)Lib 35%CPC 30%NDP 16%BQ 9%Green 11% Decima (April 23 to May 3, […]

  • Sondage Says…

    It’s been a busy week for political polls…I’ll have the May poll dance up by week’s end, but with two Quebec-only polls in field at the same time, this is a good chance to take a close look at a province which is all too often overlooked by both pundits and politicians – Quebec. Leger, […]

  • April Poll Dance

    After some insignificant shifts in March, the Liberals have overtaken the Tories in April: Angus Reid (April 21-22, n = 1000 online)CPC 33%Lib 33%NDP 15%BQ 10%Green 6% Harris Decima (April 8-19, n = 2000)CPC 29%Lib 32%NDP 16%BQ 9%Green 11% Ekos (April 8-15, n = 1500 phone/online)CPC 30%Lib 37%NDP 16%BQ 9%Green 8% Strategic Counsel (April 2-5, […]

  • March Poll Dance

    Here’s what Canadians have been telling pollsters this March: Nanos (March 13-18, n=1,000)Lib 36%CPC 33%NDP 13%BQ 10%Green 8% Angus Reid (March 10-11, n=1,000 online)CPC 35%Lib 31%NDP 16%BQ 10%Green 7% Strategic Counsel (March 5-8, n=1,000)CPC 35%Lib 31%NDP 16%Green 10%BQ 9% Decima (Feb 26-March 8, n=2,000)Lib 33%CPC 32%NDP 14%Green 10%BQ 9% Ipsos (Feb 24-March 5, n=1,000)CPC 37%Lib […]

  • February Poll Dance

    I probably should have updated this earlier in the month – these numbers may be a bit stale by now. But, regardless, here’s what Canadians have been telling pollsters this February: Nanos (Jan 30 to Feb 3, n=1000)CPC 34%Lib 33%NDP 16%BQ 10%GP 7% Strategic Counsel (Feb 5 to 8, n=1000)CPC 32%Lib 33%NDP 17%BQ 5%GP 13% […]

  • A Green Wave Sweeps Across Quebec

    The latest Strategic Counsel/CTV/Globe poll raises some interesting questions – the most prominent being “why was this poll released?”. Here are the not-at-all-surprising Quebec splits: Greens 26%Liberals 24%Bloc 22%CPC 17%NDP 12% Now, if we take these numbers at face value (ha ha…well, at least play along), there is only one conclusion to be reached: Quebecers, […]

  • Pro-Prorogue Polls

    Sure, sure, we could argue over the proper spelling of “precedent” all night long but I know what you’re all itching for – polling data! Angus Reid47% believe GG should prorogue37% believe she should let coalition take powerMore people watched Harper speak than Dion speak last night but, judging from what they thought of both […]

  • For those suffering post-election poll withdrawal symptoms

    Au Quebec: Liberals 41%PQ 35%ADQ 14% It’s difficult to know what to make of this without having Nate Silver explain it to me – the real question here is what the ADQ collapse means to the other parties. Last election saw the popular vote translate into seats in a fairly representative fashion, but in the […]

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