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Poll Soup: What the NDP surge means
Trying to make sense of what the NDP’s Quebec surge means in terms of seats is a difficult game. For starters, most public polls lump all of Quebec together when, in reality, a voter in Montreal is very different from a voter in Abitibi. Just because the Liberals or Conservatives are down province-wide, it doesn’t […]
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Poll Soup: And here comes the NDP?
Tons of polls out today, with something for everyone. If you’re a Liberal, you’re no doubt salivating at eating into the 8-point Tory lead in today’s Decima and yesterday’s Ekos polls. The NDP are surging in the latest from Leger and Angus Reid, with the latter showing them tied for second with the Liberals. The […]
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The Not So Triumphant Return Of Poll Soup
I haven’t provided a poll soup update since 2010, but with a campaign around the corner, it’s worth checking in. Before we get to that, I must meet Blogging Council standards and issue the following disclaimer: Warning – The following post contains graphic information and poll numbers that may not be suitable for some Liberals. […]
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A brief note on public opinion polls
Three polls to look at today: Lib 35%, CPC 30%, NDP 20%, BQ 11%PC 36%, Lib 33%, NDP 8%, Ref 11%, BQ 10%Lib 48%, PC 39%, NDP 11% Those are the final pre-election polls for the three most recent times Canadians voted out an incumbent government (Jeff has more on the 2005/06 election here). In […]
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Bonus TWIA – Polls!
Two new polls to report in Alberta. First up comes the latest from Janet Brown, who has earned a solid reputation for projecting Alberta elections: PC 40%WAP 33%ALP 19%NDP 8%AP 0.1% I feel badly for Brown on this one, since this poll was in field the week before Stelmach resigned. A 900 sample survey isn’t […]
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This Week in Alberta: Polling Numbers
A round up of recent news stories from Alberta: 1. The Wildrose Alliance have had their first semi-public internal party dust up, over the Little Bow nomination. While this certainly isn’t good news by any means, it does show that a Wildrose nomination is now worth fighting over. The airing of internal party dirty laundry […]
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August Poll Soup: Dog Days of August Edition
I try not to get too worked up over summertime polls. Canadians aren’t thinking about politics, and even a barrage of Census news stories isn’t going to change their vote intent much. At least not right away. After all, people are at their cottages and drinking lemonade. They have better things to do than talk […]
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Poll Soup: School’s out for the Summer Edition
What has been described as “the least productive session of parliament ever” is stumbling to a close. Looking at what little has been accomplished…well, maybe they should have just stayed prorogued. But even if there’s been little legislative movement in the House, there has been movement in the polls since January. Despite abortion gaffes, a […]
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Monday Quick Hits
1. The Hill Times has released their annual MP survey. John Baird and Bob Rae do well in the more meaningful categories, while Rona Ambrose and Pablo Rodriguez continue their dominance in the “best hair” category. Rona is also on top for sexiest woman, with Helena and Ruby falling off the list after a difficult […]